Friday, October 30, 2020

Microsoft and Earnings

AJ Novak 

Microsoft boosted its earnings due to coronavirus by its cloud services. While most of the country was struggling with the pandemic and switching over to working online. Microsoft boosted its sales with it’s cloud services. 

According to washingtonpost.com: “Microsoft’s stock is closing in on its all-time high in early February. Its shares have jumped nearly 12 percent since the beginning of the year even as the overall Nasdaq composite index has fallen 1 percent, helping secure Microsoft’s spot as the most valuable public company in the world with a market capitalization of $1.35 trillion.” Microsoft even invested in it’s own cloud services for more improvements and to make it better for the consumers who use it. According to fortune.com: “Microsoft spent $3.9 billion in capital improvements in its latest quarter, a drop from the $4.5 billion it spent during the previous quarter.” In the future spending should increase for the cloud services. 


This graph shows the Microsoft net income made from 2002-2020. After looking at what was made in 2020 which was $44.28 billion. Microsoft made $13.4 billion just off of cloud services alone. The cloud services is how Microsoft was able to boost it’s income over the course of the Coronavirus. 


Works Cited

Greene, Jay. “Microsoft Weathers the Coronavirus Pandemic, Posting Earnings Boost from Its Cloud Business.” The Washington Post, WP Company, 30 Apr. 2020, www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/04/29/microsoft-earnings-coronavirus/.

Liu, Shanhong. “Microsoft Net Income 2002-2020.” Statista, 23 July 2020, www.statista.com/statistics/267808/net-income-of-microsoft-since-2002/.

“Microsoft Cloud Strength Drives Fourth Quarter Results.” Stories, 22 July 2020, news.microsoft.com/2020/07/22/microsoft-cloud-strength-drives-fourth-quarter-results-2/.

Vanian, Jonathan. “3 Ways COVID-19 Impacted Microsoft's Latest Earnings.” Fortune, Fortune, 1 May 2020, fortune.com/2020/04/29/microsoft-earnings-shares-covid-coronavirus/.


Future Effects from the 2020-21 NFL Season

 Future Effects From 2020-2021 NFL Season

Evan Krause

The NFL makes billions and billions of dollars in revenue each year. During the last season, the NFL and NFLPA signed an agreement for the revenue share between the NFL and the players. This revenue percentage is going to go up to 48% by 2021 and will go up to 48.8% during the first 17 game season. During the COVID-19 virus, the NBA and many other leagues have started back up and run in an orderly fashion. Even though the revenue for these seasons has gone down a lot for these sports, for the most part they have been running smoothly. In the past few weeks for the NFL, there have been many positive COVID tests that have made people think of what would be the effect of an NFL season shutdown. An NFL season shutdown or even a no fan season would lead to a loss in revenue for the years to come. The NFL will no matter what happens, lose a lot of money during this 2020 NFL season.

A prediction for this season without any fans in the stadium could lead to multi-billion dollar losses for the league. According to a wall street journal article about the potential losses for the NFL season it says, “The coronavirus pandemic has burst the league’s $16 billion revenue bubble. NFL revenue could fall as much as $4 billion in 2020,”.  This projection could lead to a huge loss of revenue and could hurt the league and player's paychecks for years to come. If the NFL were to lose this amount of money then the salary cap could be decreased for each team which would leave incoming free agents a lot less money on the table and could lead to shorter deals this upcoming offseason. Overall, if the league loses a lot of money this could lead to the following 10 years being affected negatively by the COVID-19 outbreak.

COVID-19 countermeasures, sporting events, and the financial impacts to the  North American leagues

If there would be another major outbreak in the league, then the league may have to look at a bubble format to finish out the season. If this would occur, this could lead to more revenue lost and would cost the NFL 100s of millions of dollars. An article on the cost of the bubble from ESPN said, “Operating the three-month completion of the NBA season at the Walt Disney World Resort will cost the NBA more than $150 million”. This cost of 150 million dollars for the NBA to do a bubble could reflect the same for the NFL if they did a bubble. Also, doing a bubble for the NFL could lead to even more money spent than the NFL because the NBA only needs a couple of courts to have it all work out and the NFL would need NFL regulation football fields. If the NFL would have to do this than this could cost more than what the NBA did to finish their season and the NFL would also have to accommodate a lot more players than the NBA too. 

My third and final thing is that the NFL seems to be getting fewer viewers for their games which will lead to less money from sponsors and also cable companies. An article from Variety.com said, “Defending Super Bowl champions the Kansas City Chiefs’ winning effort against the Houston Texans averaged 19.3 million viewers on NBC, per Nielsen. That is down approximately 13% from the 2019 season opener that pitted the Green Bay Packers against the Chicago Bears.”. This is showing how the ratings are down even with the games being played. This could be due to all of the sports being played right now such as the NBA, MLB, and the NHL. All of these sports are being finished up right now and this shouldn’t be anything alarming to the NFL but it might be something that may affect the revenue. This amount of competition between all of the leagues could lead to a revenue loss for all of them and this would hurt everyone's paycheck. This may be nothing but a decrease in viewership could lead to a revenue loss for the NFL and could affect the salary cap if the viewership doesn’t go up.

Overall, there is a lot at stake this season with the NFL and this season could affect many years to come. Even though a lot is unseen for this season, there has to be some worry by the NFL about the positive tests and also the decrease in viewership. This all is most likely going to affect the NFL for many years to come and this season could be in jeopardy if there's a sudden boom in COVID-19 cases.

Works Cited

Beaton, Andrew. “Coronavirus Is Pushing the NFL Toward a Financial Cliff.” The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones & Company, 24 July 2020, www.wsj.com/articles/coronavirus-is-pushing-the-nfl-toward-a-financial-cliff-11595592000.

Flint, Joe. “How Could the NFL's Covid-19 Outbreak Affect the Season?” The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones & Company, 30 Sept. 2020, www.wsj.com/articles/how-will-the-nfl-season-be-affected-by-the-coronavirus-pandemic-11598788800.

Gough, Christina. “Potential Revenue Losses in the NFL Due to Coronavirus in the U.S. 2020.” Statista, 18 June 2020, www.statista.com/statistics/1114841/covid-nfl-revenue-loss/.

Otterson, Joe. “NFL Season Opener Draws 19.3 Million Viewers on NBC, Down 13% From 2019.” Variety, Variety, 22 Sept. 2020, variety.com/2020/tv/news/nfl-ratings-kansas-city-houston-1234767281/.

Windhorst, Brian. “Sources: Orlando Bubble to Cost NBA More than $150 Million.” ESPN, ESPN Internet Ventures, 1 July 2020, www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/29394052/orlando-bubble-cost-nba-more-150-million.


Wednesday, October 28, 2020

Covid Cattle: The stable beef market (and other jokes you can tell yourself)

 Covid Cattle: The stable beef market (and other jokes you can tell yourself)

Jack Howard


Ah beef. The magnum opus of the American meat industry, 27 billion pounds of beef were produced in the USA in 2019, the largest out of any type of meat produced here. That number would have kept rising during 2020 except, well, Covid-19 happened. During 2020, the beef industry in the USA has been as chaotic as a Texas rodeo, with rises and falls in production, price, and quality all happening quite rapidly.

The first big shift started in April, when Covid-19 was first spreading rapidly around the country. Meatpacking workers got sick in droves and took off of work to recover, leading to a 34% decrease in beef production according to the USDA.


This decrease in production caused a shortage of beef, when there is more demand for beef than supply. Prices for beef in supermarkets rose dramatically by an average of $10 nationwide! Lucky for meat lovers, this shortage didn’t go on forever. By late August, meatpackers had gotten back to work in their plants and production was rolling again. However, where one problem had ended, another one had popped up.

You see when the meatpacking workers had gotten sick and beef processing plants shut down, cattle ranchers had nowhere to send their cattle to. As a result cattle across the country sat on their pastures eating grass, drinking water, and fattening up. By the time beef production ramped up again, there was a massive backlog of cattle to go to the slaughter. But these cattle weren’t just ordinary cattle, no no no. As a result of sitting on ranches for 4 months just eating, the amount of USDA Prime Beef-certified cattle grew from 2% of all cattle to 10%. All of this excess beef combined with the fact that the meat-buying demand had returned to normal results in a shortage of beef turning into a surplus of beef. Now there is a larger supply of beef than consumers want, resulting in lower prices and lower profits for beef producers and ranchers.

Among all of this supply/demand shenanigans another issue has emerged, one which has affected many other industries in 2020: Monopolization. Currently the beef industry would be categorized as an Oligopoly, as there are 4 companies which own more than 80% of the beef industry: Cargill, Tyson, National Beef, and Swift. In May, urged to by a letter written by Senator Josh Hawley of Missouri and (our very own) Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin, the FTC started an investigation into price fixing in the beef industry, as beef prices were rising but cattle prices lowering. Many other small ranching and meatpacking firms have also filed antitrust lawsuits against these companies.

All in all, the beef industry has been all over the place in 2020. When do you think that it will stabilize and return to normal, if it does at all? Have you been affected by beef or any other meat shortages? Lastly, what, if anything, should be done about Oligopolies?




Works Cited


Bunge, Jacob, and Jaewon Kang. “Meat Was Once in Short Supply Amid Pandemic. Now, It's on Sale.” The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones & Company, 20 Sept. 2020, www.wsj.com/articles/meat-was-once-in-short-supply-amid-pandemic-now-its-on-sale-11600614000.

Compiled by staff | Oct 15. “Economists Explore COVID-19 Impact on Beef Prices.” Farm Progress, 15 Oct. 2020, www.farmprogress.com/livestock/economists-explore-covid-19-impact-beef-prices.

James, Katie. “Senators Ask FTC to Open Antitrust Investigation into Packers.” Drovers, 29 Apr. 2020, 02:21 PM, www.drovers.com/article/senators-ask-ftc-open-antitrust-investigation-packers.

Speer, Nevil. “Ranching in a COVID World: 2020 Cattle Harvest and Beef Production.” Www.beefmagazine.com, 8 Oct. 2020, www.beefmagazine.com/beef/ranching-covid-world-2020-cattle-harvest-and-beef-production. 


The Nintendo Switch Shortage: How was it caused?

 The Nintendo Switch Shortage: How was it caused?

Written by: Nathan Monday 


Nintendo has been a dominant force of nature in the gaming industry. While it has competition  with other major gaming oligopolies like Sony and Microsoft, it was pretty dominant in 2020. While Sony came out with its Playstation 4 and Microsoft had its XBox One, Nintendo made a significant impact with its Nintendo Switch. The Switch had sold around 62 million units, with plenty of game options like Mario: Odyssey, Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild, Super Smash Bros. Ultimate, and Animal Crossings New Horizons, after its release in 2017, March 3rd. But while it was released in 2017, it was most important in 2020, eventually selling out. But how did the biggest gaming oligopoly end up selling out their biggest gaming console? Well, the pandemic definitely helped with the increase in demand for the Switch, leading to shortages, with the production unable to achieve such high demand.


Supply and demand can be found everywhere within economics, including the gaming industry. And there is plenty of supply and demand for the Nintendo Switch. During the beginning of the pandemic, there was a shortage of toilet paper that made news headlines. This was the result of various factors, like fear that the pandemic might require citizens to stay inside and worries that the current toilet paper supply might run out or people just stocking up on essential items. Whatever the motivation was, it was clear that the demand was becoming higher for toilet paper. Unfortunately, the supply for the amount demanded from all consumers becomes more difficult to achieve and equilibrium becomes impossible to reach. And the companies and manufacturers for this product are unable to increase production because it would be difficult for them to switch up and change their operations. As much as they may produce, they are unable to produce as much as they can to meet the demand for everyone and eventually have to deal with more demand and increasing order amounts. And with the pandemic, many workers end up being laid off from their job and having to quarantine, production may take a significant hit.


A similar thing that has happened with toilet paper has also happened with the Nintendo Switch. Currently, the Nintendo Switch has gone through a similar shortage and is facing difficulties with shipping across the world right now. Though before the pandemic hit the Switch was already in high demand, the stay at home and quarantining orders from the government has caused people to turn to entertainment to keep them busy. In January of this year, sales for the Nintendo Switch reached around 52 million, as said by an article by Forbes. But people staying at home has led to sales to begin to increase, with people having little to do at home. However, along with high demand comes stocks within the industry. Once natural consumers begin to increase, stock begins to run out quickly, as stated by Forbes, and with the Nintendo Switch, the stock began to run out fast, with people hearing about how it is going out of stock, causing more sales. With that, supply becomes more and more depleted and prices benign to rise. According to The Deal Experts, “If you absolutely need to buy a Nintendo Switch right now, you can still find Nintendo Switches for sale online, but with the situation being so dire, you will be paying exorbitant prices. As of today, the cheapest Nintendo Switch for sale on Amazon right now is more than $400, and the cheapest Lite is $230. Those won’t be able to be shipped for weeks. If you were to pay for either model to be delivered ASAP, you would have to pay approximately $480 or $299 respectively.” The price rising is so that it is possible for demand to possibly be depleted in order for the demand to eventually deplete, so manufacturing can continue so that they can eventually meet the demand for the Nintendo Switch. As supply begins to be depleted and as demand continues, the shortages that the Switch is facing will continue to happen, so it would be important for the company to try to earn profit and make sure it will be able to satisfy its customers by providing their consumers by increasing production. However, with the resource market, demand could begin increasing. As price increases for the product, resource demand will begin to increase as well. It is unclear whether this may be beneficial or not, but it could be possible this could help or damage the shortage of the Switch.



The shortage of The Nintendo Switch also has other factors it was affected by: manufacturing. According to both Forbes and Business Insider, while Nintendo is a Japan-based company, many of its manufacturing comes from China, and supply not being able to keep up with the increasing demand can be due to China. As said by Business Insider, “Supplies of the system were already hindered by the shutdown of manufacturing in China during February, when "there were no consoles produced," Niko Partners Senior Analyst Daniel Ahmad told Business Insider earlier this month. About 90% of Nintendo's Switch consoles made for the US come from China, he said.” Another quote from Forbes, apparently China manufacturing had to be shut down. Even as it is recovering, the demand for other products, not including the Switch, is dropping and could be detrimental to China’s status as a manufacturing juggernaut. What comes with the less production from China, comes less supply that can happen. With the supply decreasing, equilibrium becomes less of an attainable goal. And Nintendo depends heavily on China. It can’t just print out other copies of the Switch, as that is yet possible.


In order for the Switch to make sales, it must be sold to other markets, like stores including Target and Walmart. Products can also be sold online, which can create an easier way of purchasing a product. Unfortunately for the stores, the shortage of supply and the ever increasing demand can severely affect stocks, except for digital form, like Amazon. According to Market Watch, “In the U.S. too, scarcity has only made the Switch more sought after. Some fans have spent months trying to find a Switch, and sellers on Amazon.com, are getting $380 or more for a unit. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Target Corp.,  and GameStop Corp.,  said they have struggled to meet demand both in stores and online.” With scarcity, the price begins to rise, which is also causing much of the stores to fail to make profit from the Switch. While Amazon is increasing sales, the stores have experienced the product being sold out, negatively affecting their Nintendo sales. The shortage may continue, which will only affect their stocks further into 2020, which can damage the economy, and even cause some shops to possibly shut down, if gone too extreme. Of course, these companies have other products from other oligopolies it can sell, so it isn’t likely that they’ll run out of stock soon. But with the Switch selling fast, it is important for Nintendo to possibly increase their manufacturing and production, if they are able to keep their steady increase in sales and help the other companies refresh their stock.


Other companies that deal with gaming consoles have also faced the same factors that the Switch has, including the Playstation 4 and the Xbobx One, mentioned in the beginning. Fortunately, the Nintendo Switch can get out of this shortage soon enough. The same Business Insider article claims that they have plans in order to produce around 22 million Switch devices by next year. There was no way that Nintendo could have ever predicted the pandemic increasing their demand and driving up their stocks, so it is unfortunate that a company had to deal with the unfortunate situation they were dealt. It would be interesting to see if anything similar happens in the future, with this pandemic raging on with now end in sight.  In order for companies to keep up with the demand for their devices, it seems that there are new systems being developed, so it's possible for a new shortage to happen soon enough. If you were iIntendo, what would you have done in order to reach equilibrium, by either increasing supply or trying to decrease demand?


Works Cited

-, Chris S., et al. “The Nintendo Switch Is Sold out All over the Place, Making Prices More Expensive than Usual.” TheDealExperts, 5 Sept. 2020, www.thedealexperts.com/news/gaming-news/the-nintendo-switch-is-sold-out-all-over-the-place-making-prices-more-expensive-than-usual/.

Gilbert, Ben. “Nintendo Plans to Produce 22 Million Switch Devices to Address Supply Shortages.” Business Insider, Business Insider, 20 Apr. 2020, www.businessinsider.com/nintendo-switch-production-increasing-animal-crossing-2020-4.

Kain, Erik. “This Is Why It's Almost Impossible To Buy A Nintendo Switch Right Now.” Forbes, Forbes Magazine, 21 Apr. 2020, www.forbes.com/sites/erikkain/2020/04/21/why-its-even-harder-to-find-a-nintendo-switch-than-toilet-paper-right-now/#52fe48c24473.

Mochizuki, Takashi, and Sarah E. Needleman. “Nintendo's Switch: Plenty of Demand, but Short on Supply.” MarketWatch, MarketWatch, 27 Aug. 2017, www.marketwatch.com/story/nintendos-switch-plenty-of-demand-but-short-on-supply-2017-08-27.

Trumbore, Dave. “My Mushroom Kingdom for a Nintendo Switch: How the Console Supply Chain Broke Down.” Collider, 15 July 2020, collider.com/nintendo-switch-sold-out/.

Unemployment Benefits

Written by: Tiara Tran 


 



Being unemployed is a scary situation to be in, but high rates of unemployment can lead to detrimental effects for both an individual and the economy. 


Between February and May, unemployment skyrocketed from 6 million to over 20.5 million people. For those who have contributed to the workforce, they are able to file for unemployment and gain back a few hundred dollars each week to pay for food and basic necessities. Each state has different rules for how the amount of unemployment you receive is calculated, typically based off of your earnings in previous periods. However the amount is usually only enough to get by. The state tries to keep the amount of unemployment received low, to incentivize the unemployed to find a new job. 



During March of 2020 amidst the shutdown, there was a CARES Act that was passed to extend the unemployment benefits. In fact, unemployed people received an additional $600 on top of their usual few hundred dollar unemployment benefits. The only requirement for those filing for unemployment is proof that they are actively searching for a job. This is because during the shutdown, the government did not see a reason to incentivize people to find a job when there were so few jobs available.


The reason behind these high levels of unemployment is a loss in the demand of goods, restaurants, and services from consumers. This caused millions nationwide to lose their jobs, because many businesses were experiencing extreme losses in profit. There was a sudden surplus of certain goods and services that couldn’t be sold, such as gasoline, flowers, flights, and many more. These businesses all lost enough money that they could no longer afford to pay their employees, sending the unemployment rates to record highs. 


In many states such as Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Nevada, over a quarter of the state was unemployed by May 2. Not only is this bad for the individuals who are unemployed, it puts our economy in a spiraling downhill. High unemployment means that our economy is operating inefficiently, because there are many people who want jobs who can’t get one-- leading to lower output and incomes. With the unemployed spending less money, there is a lower output which leads to a lower GDP of the nation. 


Bringing unemployment benefits would allow for many positive externalities. It not only helps the person who is unemployed, but it helps boost the economy because it keeps spending happening and businesses thriving. If the unemployed didn’t have money to spend, many businesses would not be able to earn that extra income, keeping their business going. Another positive externality would be lower crime rates among the city, because people do not have to steal in order to survive, which is beneficial for all people living in the city. This makes neighbors happier as well, because they are able to live in a safe community.


Unemployment benefits are an important economy concept to learn about, because they are crucial to keeping businesses, families, and neighborhoods running smoothly. Especially in 2020, when we are still at a lower unemployment rate than this time last year. Although the economy has improved greatly, entering into another shutdown, and therefore loss of employment, is still a possibility. For these reasons, it is important to know about your rights if you are to become unemployed. 


Works Cited

“Unemployment Insurance During COVID-19: The CARES Act and Role of UI During the Pandemic.” National Employment Law Project, www.nelp.org/publication/unemployment-insurance-covid-19-cares-act-role-ui-pandemic/.

“Unemployment Insurance Relief During COVID-19 Outbreak.” U.S. Department of Labor Seal, www.dol.gov/coronavirus/unemployment-insurance.

“The Gender Unemployment Gap.” VOX, CEPR Policy Portal, voxeu.org/article/gender-unemployment-gap.


College Market Failures: Covid-19 Edition.

 College Market Failures:  Covid-19 Edition. 

Written by: Collin D. 


Many current students, including myself, are very familiar with the ongoing student debt crisis as we try to figure out how we’ll pay for college next Fall. Many of us will most likely fall back on student loans, but the 68% increase in college expenses since the year 2000 leaves many students struggling to digest the amount of debt they’ll have. Just the cost alone is a common reason as to why students don’t attend college. 1.54 trillion dollars is the amount of national federal student loan debt that the US faces today (Wesley Whistle - Forbes), but why is it that college is so expensive even amidst this pandemic? Student debt leaves young adults struggling to maneuver through life, so let's take a look at the market failures of colleges and universities during the pandemic to see why the cost is still as high as before. 


Economists around the world are constantly trying to decide whether externalities - the impact of actions on others well being -  are worth the price/cost. Colleges and Universities are not utilizing the right pricing of externalities and it’s because of their current market conditions. With the pandemic, students aren’t receiving the same experience as they did prior and because of that many students are taking gap years or dropping out. This shows that the market is not operating efficiently or at equilibrium because the amount of students in attendance does not equate to the amount of education being offered. Colleges aren’t able to cover their costs because of the decline in “tuition-paying students” (New York Times). Because there is a broken market, campuses don’t have to worry about the negative externalities like the risk of infection among students because there is so much revenue on the line. 


Governmental action could’ve been implemented to help the negative externalities of reopening campuses, but that is yet to happen. I can infer that there’d be tuition breaks for students agreeing to stay at home and subsidies for colleges that didn’t open their campuses. In my opinion, this would’ve helped everyone - students wouldn’t be struggling with the decision of paying full tuition for online school and colleges wouldn’t be struggling to cover their costs. Though the discussion on whether or not colleges should always have governmental subsidies is ongoing, do you think that there should be temporary subsidies for colleges during this pandemic?  Another solution to student debt for online classes would be to create a price ceiling on tuition during the pandemic. As much as I, a future college student, would want the lower rates, it would also drastically affect the college's total revenue and therefore temporary price caps would not be efficient for their market. As a result, their loss of funding might force colleges to lay off employees or cut back on the number of classes and that would make for an even worse learning experience than our current situation. 


Though many colleges and universities are staying partially closed amidst this pandemic, there are a handful that are fully open and managing the outbreaks. For example, Clark University, a private institute in Worcester, Mass., tests its students every 3 days and wears masks everywhere on campus; there have been no outbreaks. Colleges that are fully operational like Clark University might've had an impact on the Fall of 2020’s freshman’s choice of school. For those who want more of a college experience, they’d choose a college that is fully open, as opposed to one where everything is closed. This could cause an influx of students attending the colleges that are open and in turn would increase the revenue of those colleges. Overall, I think it’s important to understand that the pandemic has caused so many tough decisions between everyone. While many businesses and colleges try to put their workers and students ahead of their profits, at some point businesses need their workers back and colleges need their students back so they can make money. If no students went back to school college campuses wouldn’t profit off of things like student housing or meal plans. It will be interesting to see how colleges will keep running if the pandemic does not stay under control and causes more and more dropouts amongst students. 


WORKS CITED: 

Cohodes, Sarah, and Susan Dynarski. “Colleges Are Fueling the Pandemic in a Classic Market Failure.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 8 Oct. 2020, www.nytimes.com/2020/10/08/business/colleges-pandemic-market-failure.html.

Nick Anderson, Susan Svrluga. “The Fall Opening of Colleges: Upheaval, Pandemic Weirdness and a Fragile Stability.” The Washington Post, WP Company, 21 Sept. 2020, www.washingtonpost.com/local/education/the-fall-opening-of-colleges-upheaval-pandemic-weirdness-and-a-fragile-stability/2020/09/20/03ab1f6e-f839-11ea-be57-d00bb9bc632d_story.html.

“Student Debt Infringes upon Their Freedoms.” Pinterest, www.pinterest.com/pin/567242515537214228/?nic_v2=1a30aBBL0.

Whistle, Wesley. “What Is Driving The $1.5 Trillion Student Debt Crisis.” Forbes, Forbes Magazine, 2 Sept. 2020, www.forbes.com/sites/wesleywhistle/2020/09/01/what-drives-the-15-trillion-student-debt-crisis/. 


The Slam Dunk Economics of Michael Jordan

 The Slam Dunk Economics of Michael Jordan

By Matt Katka

Michael Jordan's stature as the greatest basketball player to ever live created a butterfly effect of positive externalities that stimulated the world economy and the economy of Chicago by at least 10 billion dollars in the 9 years from his being drafted in 1984 to his first retirement in 1993; this establishes him as the most economically influential athlete in history. John Skorburg, chief economist for the Chicagoland Chamber of Commerce was quoted saying "If Michael Jordan were a corporation, he would be in the Fortune 500 he is the 1 billion dollar man. That's what we estimate his worth is to the Chicagoland economy: 1 billion dollars." To understand why Jordan's influence on Chicago was so vast, his influence on the Bulls and the commercial sporting goods industry must first be established. 

In Jordans' 1984 rookie season, the value of the Bulls went from $18.7 million to $190 million which represents a turn on investment of %1000 for its owners. Adjusted for inflation this feat hasn’t been replicated by any NBA rookie since, including Shaquille O'Neal, Lebron James, and Kobe Bryant. To provide a sense of scale FormSwift conducted a study regarding LeBron James’ contract with the Los Angeles Lakers estimating a benefit in positive externalities for the city totaling 3000 jobs, $29 million in state tax revenue, and $396 million total, over the length of five years. Now consider that Michael Jordan was paid ten times more than LeBron in annual salary at the height of his career.

Jordans Bulls career spanned from 1984 to 1998. Notice how the apex of NBA viewership was in this period, additionally, he had a one-year hiatus in 1994 where NBA viewership was at its lowest over this period. Furthermore the peak of NBA viewership all time was during the Last Dance which was Jordan's final year with the Bulls and his 6th championship in 1998. (This is the same Last Dance as the epic/best sports documentary ever made on NetFlix right now.)

Furthermore, the majority of his marginal social and external benefit to Chicago was a product of his endorsements within the city for example the $150 million generated in tourism from consumers out of state wanting to get a glimpse of the stardom, the revenues earned by local TV stations and agencies, he has his own restaurant, souvenir vendors, local businesses selling Jordan jerseys and shoes. Outside the city and even outside the country Michael Jordan had billion-dollar deals with brands like Nike, Gatorade, Warner Brothers, and now NetFlix.


Jordan endorsed practically everything. His influence was as boundless as his vertical jump.

In 1993 Robert Dederick, chief economist for the Northern Trust Co. had this to say regarding Jordan's retirement "Michael Jordan has been a kind of one-man export industry for this region, but Chicago is a pretty big economy, and it's big enough to survive this event. We have survived much worse economic downturns." A thirty-year-old man stopped playing basketball for a year and people react as if a billion dollar corporation collapses. It’s all because of the butterfly effect his externalities create; a talented athlete creates TV viewership which stimulates tourism which generates job growth and increases the GDP of a city which increases the purchasing power of consumers which increases the market equilibrium within the cities economy. Forbes Magazine dubs this “the Jordan Effect.” Jordan made evident the influence and significance that sports have on the economy and communities of cities in the US. Despite this many US citizens express disdain for state and municipal governments for spending tax dollars on sports stadiums but frankly if there was a voluntary tax to promote Wisconsin Sports teams I would pay that tax. Even if I didn’t like NBA basketball the implicit benefits far outweigh the explicit costs of funding sports. Even now this “Jordan effect” is in play as economists and Bucks fans in Wisconsin and Milwaukee brace for the current best player Giannis Antetokounmpo's exit from the bucks. Michael Jordan's unchallenged stature as the greatest NBA player to ever live makes evident the significance of NBA basketball and mainstream sports.


Works Cited

Forbes, Forbes Magazine, www.forbes.com/#30f0a49d2254.

HoopsHype. “The Highest Salaries in NBA History (Adjusted to Inflation).” HoopsHype, HoopsHype, 28 July 2018, hoopshype.com/2016/01/30/the-highest-salaries-in-nba-history-adjusted-to-inflation/.

Reiff, Nathan. “How The NBA Makes Money: The Second-Largest Sport in the Country.” Investopedia, Investopedia, 18 Sept. 2020, www.investopedia.com/articles/personal-finance/071415/how-nba-makes-money.asp#:~:text=Key Takeaways,about $8.76 billion in revenue.

Yates, Ronald E., and Nancy Ryan. “Chicago's Economy Could Take a Hit after Michael Jordan Retires.” Chicagotribune.com, Chicago Tribune, 9 May 2020, www.chicagotribune.com/sports/bulls/ct-michael-jordan-retirement-economy-20200509-svxt55oz4rgzpce2djkraqv7qy-story.html.


The Crisis of Low Wages, and How to Fix It

 The Crisis of Low Wages, and How to Fix It

Neelay Talwalkar


If you Google the GDP per capita, which is basically the average income, for the United States, you’ll get figures around the $60,000 a year range. However, this statistic is deeply misleading for a number of reasons. 

Let’s do a thought experiment. What is the yearly income of your parents? Once you have the number in your head, compare it to the yearly income of someone like Jeff Bezos. Bezos has a net worth of $200 billion dollars, and, according to Business Insider, he accrued nearly $80 billion dollars in 2018 alone. Now take the median of your parents’ yearly income and Bezos’ yearly income. The yearly income of an average worker is so small, so miniscule, in comparison to Bezos’ yearly income that you could effectively round the worker’s income down to $0 a year. The worker and Bezos would technically have a median income of $40 billion a year, right? But surely, that isn’t anywhere near as much as Bezos makes in a year, and is light years above what the average worker manages to make. And with that, you’ll find the biggest issue with using GDP per capita as the gauge for how well the average worker is doing financially. Even though the GDP per capita, the median yearly income in the USA, is over $60,000 a year, the average worker is not making nearly that much. All this figure shows is the widening gap between the wealthy and the poor. In reality, 48% of American workers make $30,000 a year or less, and, according to CBS, 57% of Americans would not have the means to cover an emergency expense of $500.  

There are a couple ways we could combat this issue. We could either heavily increase union membership to increase collective bargaining, or we could federally mandate an increase in the minimum wage. This mandate could either be for a living wage, calculated by district, as a basic requirement, steadily increasing wages with inflation, or by setting the minimum wage to a number like $12 of $15 across the entire country. However, based on the empirical evidence from other nations, unionization seems to be the best step we can take towards combating inequality and plummeting wages.

When it comes to unionization, we know for a fact that it leads to better wages. Just take a look at the Scandinavian countries, where union membership is around 70-80%, or Iceland, which has the highest rate of union membership in the world at over 90%. These nations have a similar trait: they lack a federal minimum wage. Rather, wages are most often determined through collective bargaining. The high union membership means that workers can negotiate fair wages for themselves, cancelling the necessity of a federal minimum wage altogether.

Beyond that, according to the graph below, we see that as union membership has fallen from the 1950s, the share of wealth going to the top 10% has proportionally increased. This makes sense, as due to a decrease in unions, workers effectively lost their ability to bargain for better wages and working conditions, allowing the ultra wealthy to take a larger and larger share of the income while the low-income worker got crumbs, even if their labor was still being used. Should the worker not have a say in the way that their labor is organized within a firm? Would that not lead to a firm that functions much more smoothly, due to a workforce that is less stressed out over bills they have to pay and rent they have to make?



Finally, there’s the idea that some have that any increase in wages will lead to a decrease in the amount of workers a firm hires. It would theoretically make sense that an increase in wages would mean that a firm wouldn’t be able to hire as many workers as if they were paying them less. However, we see that in practice, this simply isn’t true. A multitude of studies, such as one from UC Berkeley, found that an increase in the minimum wage had no adverse effect on employment, and therefore did not create job loss. 

While a federal increase in the minimum wage in some form would be useful, it needs to be accompanied by, and preferably come after, the worker has achieved the ability to collectively bargain with their fellow workers. Unionization, statistically, seems like the most effective way to combat wealth inequality and low wages, and can hopefully lead to a better future for all workers in the United States. 


Works Cited

Economic Snapshot • By Lawrence Mishel and Jessica Schieder • May 24. “As Union Membership Has Fallen, the Top 10 Percent Have Been Getting a Larger Share of Income.” Economic Policy Institute, www.epi.org/publication/as-union-membership-has-fallen-the-top-10-percent-have-been-getting-a-larger-share-of-income/.

Hoffower, Hillary. “We Did the Math to Calculate How Much Money Jeff Bezos Makes in a Year, Month, Week, Day, Hour, Minute, and Second.” Business Insider, Business Insider, 9 Jan. 2019, www.businessinsider.com/what-amazon-ceo-jeff-bezos-makes-every-day-hour-minute-2018-10.

McCarthy, Niall. “Which Countries Have The Highest Levels Of Labor Union Membership? [Infographic].” Forbes, Forbes Magazine, 20 June 2017, www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2017/06/20/which-countries-have-the-highest-levels-of-labor-union-membership-infographic/#2f27d6f033c0.

Picchi, Aimee. “A $500 Surprise Expense Would Put Most Americans into Debt.” CBS News, CBS Interactive, 12 Jan. 2017, www.cbsnews.com/news/most-americans-cant-afford-a-500-emergency-expense/#:~:text=While the jobless rate is,1,003 adults earlier this month.

Raul

              Editor, et al. “America's Middle Class Is Vanishing. Nearly Half of Workers Earn Less than $30,000.” HowMuch, howmuch.net/articles/how-much-americans-make-in-wages.

“Research Shows Minimum Wage Increases Do Not Cause Job Loss.” Research Shows Minimum Wage Increases Do Not Cause Job Loss | Business For a Fair Minimum Wage, www.businessforafairminimumwage.org/news/00135/research-shows-minimum-wage-increases-do-not-cause-job-loss.

Starve a Vampire, Donate Blood

Written by: Gabby Winzenried

 Hospitals rely on regular people, like you or me, for blood donations. A simple act that will take less than an hour to complete can potentially save up to eight lives. Because of you, eight people have another chance at life; doesn’t that feel good to know that you saved eight people. 

When the pandemic first started, hospitals were forced to cancel surgeries. With the uncertainty of the virus, doctors didn’t want to take the risk of operating when there was that option to wait. The shortage of blood wasn’t a concern as they didn’t need as much because of the canceled surgeries. As those surgeries are getting rescheduled, the need for blood has soared. Hospitals all across the nation are demanding blood, but they're just isn’t enough to go around. Although the demand for blood has increased, the supply has dropped by a lot. Since the government is encouraging people to stay in their homes, people are less willing to go out and donate. In turn, creating a shortage of blood. 

The Red Cross, one of the nation's biggest blood suppliers, is forced to reduce the amount of blood they are sending to hospitals; sometimes cutting the amount requested by hospitals in half. The Red Cross who normally has about a three to four-day supply of blood to meet the nation's needs is seeing the number decrease to one day or less supply. Forcing doctors in a predicament where they have to decide who to give blood to.

Although blood as a whole is in demand, Type O-negative specifically is in higher demand. Type O-negative can be used on any person, regardless of their blood type. It is commonly referred to as the universal blood type. This type of blood is particularly important in emergencies. When the doctor doesn’t have time to identify the blood type of the patient, they use Type O-negative blood. Because the supply is so low, doctors are finding loopholes that allow them to find out the patient's blood type before proceeding. This can only work so long before patients' lives are being compromised.  

Donor incentive is at an all time low right now. They have no obligation to anyone to donate nor do they know the person it’s going to, so why would they donate. Many people donate blood to do a good deed; they are saving someone's life. It is less commonly known that there are a lot of health benefits to donating blood such as the reduced risk of cancer and obesity, and improving your cardiovascular health. To help create a better incentive for donors, centers are providing a COVID antibody test. This test tells you if your body, more specifically your immune system has responded to the virus. If it comes back positive, you have or previously had COVID. In addition to that, centers are offering “prizes” to donors. These “prizes” can include coupons to restaurants, t-shirts, gift cards, etc. All these incentives are being put in place to help increase the number of donors.

With many drives being canceled and schools unable to host drives. Donation centers are missing out on thousands of potential donations. If we continue to see a shortage of blood, hundreds of lives will be lost. Blood is something that hospitals need. Doing this small deed which is a minor inconvenience to you could save someone's life. Who knows, maybe one day you’ll need blood and you’ll rely on others to provide that. Donate blood for a reason, let that reason be life.


Works Cited

Abolghasemi, Hassan, et al. “Blood Donor Incentives: A Step Forward or Backward.” Asian Journal of Transfusion Science, Medknow Publications, Jan. 2010, www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2847338/.

Flavelle, Christopher. “Red Cross Warns of a 'Staggering' Drop in Blood Supplies.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 2 June 2020, www.nytimes.com/2020/06/02/climate/blood-donations-hospitals-shortage.html#:~:text=Several months of social distancing,and churches canceled en masse.

Marcus, Amy Dockser. “U.S. Blood Reserves Are Critically Low.” The Wall Street Journal, Dow Jones & Company, 16 June 2020, www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-blood-reserves-are-critically-low-11591954200.

Oaklander, Mandy. “Coronavirus Fears Are Causing Blood Drive Cancellations.” Time, Time, 16 Mar. 2020, time.com/5802869/blood-drives-coronavirus/.

Pettinger, Tejvan, et al. “Diagrams for Supply and Demand.” Economics Help, 6 Aug. 2020, www.economicshelp.org/blog/1811/markets/diagrams-for-supply-and-demand/.


Tuesday, October 27, 2020

Living Paycheck to Paycheck

 by Ava Magnuson 

People who live paycheck to paycheck use most or all of their monthly income to cover their monthly expenses with little to no money left over and none to save or invest. Living paycheck to paycheck has become a common lifestyle that many Americans face. “49 percent of Americans say they expect they will be living paycheck to paycheck this year,” (Brittany De Lea, Yahoo!Finance, 2020). In addition, many respondents stated that living paycheck to paycheck is because they don’t make enough or have a high income. 

Living paycheck to paycheck can be extremely stressful for people because they may feel like they never have enough to cover all the bills or buy the things they want each month. “When you live paycheck to paycheck, you are constantly scrambling to make ends meet or running out of money before the end of the month... it is nearly impossible to get ahead financially,” (The Balance). 

As a result, this lifestyle doesn’t only affect people financially, but it can also affect their health. “...parents, younger generations and those who live in households with below median income report higher levels of stress than Americans overall, especially when it comes to stress about money,” (American Psychological Association). According to a survey conducted by Harris Poll, consisting of 3,068 adults in August 2014, money was reported to be the top common stressor. 

Some of the reasons as to why people live paycheck to paycheck is because they don’t make enough money, the cost for their rent or mortgage is high, they don’t know how to budget, have too much debt, unemployed, have bad spending habits or other reasons (Yahoo!Finance). 

To succeed financially and reach financial goals, people can learn budgeting skills including tracking spending and cutting back on spending. Another step is to set money aside each month, even if it’s a small amount because overtime, that money will build. In addition, getting out of debt is important because it is taking a portion of your paychecks which can prevent you from having enough money to pay for and cover all necessities, so that can be done by paying things off in amounts based on your monthly income. You can also stop using credit cards will help because continuing to put money on them will hold you back from paying off your debt. Lastly, you can sell stuff you don’t use or need or get a side job for some extra money. 

Works Cited

Monitor on Psychology, American Psychological Association, www.apa.org/monitor/2015/04/money-stress.

“49% Of Americans Are Living Paycheck to Paycheck.” Yahoo! Finance, Yahoo!, finance.yahoo.com/news/49-americans-living-paycheck-paycheck-090000381.html.

Caldwell, Miriam. “Practical Money Tips to Stop Living From Paycheck to Paycheck.” The Balance, 15 June 2020, www.thebalance.com/stop-paycheck-to-paycheck-2385520#:~:text=When you live paycheck to,things you want each month.

“How Many Americans Live Paycheck to Paycheck?” Yahoo! Finance, Yahoo!, finance.yahoo.com/news/many-americans-live-paycheck-paycheck-190102599.html.

Moore, Lori. “Lori Moore.” BBVA, 21 May 2020, www.bbvausa.com/moneyfit/savings-and-budgeting/what-does-it-mean-to-live-paycheck-to-paycheck.html#:~:text=Living paycheck to paycheck: For,is a fact of life.

Car Financing

 By; Nate Miracola

Many people make different purchasing decisions when buying a car. It could be through a lease or a loan. This blog post will be about how you should get your car and the best tips for you in the future  

One of the most common mistakes people make when buying a new vehicle is failing to include the cost of auto debt finance in the overall price. 

For instance, if you buy a new Honda Civic, the difference between the "sticker price" and the dealer's invoice price (what the dealer paid for the car) would be about $1,500. When you bargain well, you can save $1,000 or more on the vehicle price.

If you then finance the car at 6 percent without anything down for four years, you will pay over $2,000 in interest.

Your car is no investment at all. Quite the contrary: like crazy, cars depreciate. It's not smart to pay interest on a car loan for this reason alone.  Think about it, what happens is that the car depreciates and the car's value falls faster than you repay the loan, leaving you upside down or underwater (when you owe more than the car is worth on the loan in the future thus you lose money ). 

That said, to get to our workplaces, many of us need cars and do not have the money lying around to buy a reliable trip. So, we're getting a car loan.

I have the credit and income to go out and get a loan for a BMW M3. And I would love that car. But that doesn’t mean I should get it. What the dealerships will tell you you can afford and what you should spend are two very different things. (moneyunder30.com)

If there’s ever a time to check and track your credit report and score, it’s before you get a car loan.Here’s the deal: Unlike mortgages or a credit card, you can usually get a car loan even if you have pretty bad credit—you’ll just pay (a lot) more. The reason? It’s relatively easy for the banks to repossess a car if you don’t pay. Ways to get a car with bad credit is by getting financing quotes to lower your interest rate. (nprsmartwaycar.com)

Keep the term short because even saying you're going to have less money to pay for payments you're going to have to pay more interest over the course of a 5-6 year plan. The best plan is between 3-4 years for not too much interest you paying. And you're saving money when you're paying higher monthly payments though on your car. 

Put 20% down. This might seem like a no-brainer, but to make any down payment at all, many dealerships don't even need good credit buyers. It's tempting to drive off without putting a penny in your new car, but it's risky. If you suddenly find yourself needing to sell your new car, if you owe more than the car is worth on the loan, you may not be able to do so. A bigger down payment makes sure this doesn't happen.

Depending on what you decide on how to finance your car with leasing or loaning it. These ways can really help you become more financially free in your ride. There are other things to consider as well as how to pay for it but also maintenance/repairs  and fuel costs and auto insurance. Also one thing i forgot is pay all your taxes and fees upfront as it will add to your monthly payments dealerships do that sneakily make you pay more. 

Summary: Unless you are paying 0% or a really low APR, the best way to pay is through cash, if you need a loan or lease be sensible as possible. Know your credit score, shop for the best loan before you sign and use other offers as leverage for lowest APR.keep the term short and read carefully

Tell me what you think, what's your decision ?

Works Cited:

https://www.moneyunder30.com/how-to-finance-a-car-the-smart-way  

Written by David Weliver , et al. “How To Finance A Car The Smart Way.” Money Under 30, www.moneyunder30.com/how-to-finance-a-car-the-smart-way.  

https://www.bankrate.com/loans/auto-loans/best-car-buying-tips/ 

McMillin, David. “How To Buy A New Car: Get The Best Deal.” Bankrate, www.bankrate.com/loans/auto-loans/best-car-buying-tips/.  

https://www.npr.org/2019/10/31/774757867/5-tips-for-buying-a-car-the-smart-way 

Thursday, October 22, 2020

Economic Impact of Adoption and Foster Care

 Economic Impact of Adoption and Foster Care

Sam Biely

In recent years, it has come to many people’s attention that the Foster Care system is flawed, and that adopting children and getting them out of said system is extremely important, yet very difficult to do. But what many aren’t aware of, is how the foster care system affects the economy.

The foster care system helps fuel the economy, along with providing a useful service, and helps continue its growth.

Overall the Foster Care system, along with adoption, cost a lot of money to fund and keep running. Having thousands of growing children and babies that need many accommodations; the costs of which can add up quite quickly. The foster care system cost the government over 9 billion dollars in total expenditures. Funds go toward medical care, food stamps, and child care payments to foster families. Though there are also additional long term costs to foster care, such as costs relating to unemployment payments, homelessness, and even dropping out of school.

In 2006, Foster Care Payments ranged from about 450 dollars to 550 dollars, depending on the age range of the child. This money then goes back in the Gross Domestic Product per capita as a form of consumer spending. Also, the long term expenses are also factored into the GDP as government spending, because most of the costs of long term foster care are parts of the government’s budget for Health and Welfare. And in conclusion, the foster care system is a benefit to the economy. It's expenses contribute to the overall Gross Domestic Product, as well as GDP per capita.


Works Cited

“The Economic Benefits of Foster Care Adoption.” Children's Bureau Express, Nov. 2011, cbexpress.acf.hhs.gov/index.cfm?event=website.viewArticles&issueid=130§ionid=2&articleid=3304.

FacebookTwitterYoutubeLinkedIn Adoption Center1735 Walnut St Ste A-441Philadelphia, PA 19103p: (215) 735-9988p: (800) TO-ADOPT  e: ac@adopt.org. “The Economy's Impact on Adoption.” The Economy's Impact on Adoption | Adoption Center, 4 Mar. 2009, www.adopt.org/content/economys-impact-adoption.

“Making the Case: Why Prevention Matters.” Child Welfare Information Gateway, www.childwelfare.gov/topics/preventing/developing/economic/. 


Education and Economics

 Irina Petrenko 

October 20th

Econ A2

Reuter

                                                Education and Economics

    Every year the number of students in classes gets higher and higher. In countries such as East Asia and the Pacific, the schooling grew from around two to seven years, in the last 20 years. While in 1950 the average time span of schooling in Africa was slightly below two years, it has come up to more than five years today. It is projected to rise to 10 years on average by 2050. However, there are still 124 million kids worldwide that are not in school.  As well as, more than 250 million of the ones that actually do go to school cannot read, or write even after several years of schooling.  

 The Human Capital Theory says that investing in education has a payoff in terms of higher wages later on.  Furthermore, it is backed up by science, as explained by James Heckman. Neurogenesis explains that learning can continue into advanced ages. It  is usually way more beneficial to invest in the younger population rather than older. As well as investing in more capable workers would be a lot more beneficial rather than less able ones, and ability forms within children of a very young age. On an average an added year of schooling raises earnings by 10 percent a year.  This is overall higher than any investment an individual could possibly make. 

   The main reason for the recent change in the returns pattern, has been the race between technology and education, as labor markets adjust to include more automation and less labor workers.  In this new world, the ability of workers to compete is handicapped by the poor performance of education systems in most developing countries, such as weak education in schools in America, targeted to make more low income worker class adults, rather than higher education brainiacs. As more and more machinery is replacing labor and workforce, global competition demands mastery of competencies and the acquisition of new skills for many. To promote success in today’s labor market, one needs to start investing early, and then invest in the relevant skills for as long as they possibly can. Above all, countries need to start investing smartly, by promoting attention to the basic 3 A’s: Autonomy, Accountability, Assessment. The government also needs to start paying attention to teachers, early childhood development and culture. Education systems that do well start preparing kids at the earliest age possible, reform continuously, and use information to make room for improvement and accountability. Especially test-based accountability is cost-effective.  Even if the accountability costs that we have now were 10 times as large as they are, they would still not amount to even 1% of the cost of public education. Countries need to start improving quality, strive for excellence, and expand opportunities, based on efficiency and equity. 

 While the returns to schooling are higher lately on average, there must be better information provided for such students who don’t perform as well as others, and greater support networks to help them take on the challenges of completing their able level of education. Also more information will give additional benefits to students and families from disadvantaged backgrounds, who tend to overestimate benefits and underestimate their costs. Education is amazingly one of the most powerful instruments for reducing poverty and inequality that we have, and it sets the foundation for sustained economic growth. Let’s start investing in it more. 

Works Cited

Hanushek, Eric A., et al. “Education and Economic Growth.” Education Next, 30 July 2020, www.educationnext.org/education-and-economic-growth/.

Radcliffe, Brent. “How Education and Training Affect the Economy.” Investopedia, Investopedia, 28 Aug. 2020, www.investopedia.com/articles/economics/09/education-training-advantages.asp#:~:text=A country's economy becomes more,require literacy and critical thinking.&text=In this sense, education is,an investment in better equipment.

Why is College So Expensive?

 Why is college so expensive?

Omkar Kendale

The one thing that many people dread about going to college are student loan debts. There are countless stories of students graduating from college and 10 years later, they are still paying off student loans. The average amount a student owes is $32,731. In addition, there are a total of 44.7 million people in the US who currently have student loan debt. Student loans are not something anyone would want to do, but unless you get a good scholarship or are able to pay it off immediately, you have no choice but to take in student loans and the debt that comes with it. This brings up the question of why is college so expensive? What costs do colleges incur that force you to pay upwards of $10,000 per year for a college education? The answer is a reduction in state funding, the costs of faculty and staff and mainly, a higher demand to go to college. 

Colleges were a lot more affordable in the late 1900’s. However, since then the state has been reducing the amount of funding they give to colleges. According to businessinsider.com, “In the 2015-16 school year, appropriations — money given to a school by the government — per full-time enrolled student were 11% lower than 10 years before, when adjusted for inflation.” Colleges aren’t getting as much as they used to. Naturally, colleges aren’t going to just accept this lack of money; they’re going to find a way to accommodate and work around it. Unfortunately for students, this means price increases in tuition. Before funding cuts, college expenditures were at a certain level. Collections from students and the government helped to offset these expenditures. However, when one of those money sources decreases (funding), colleges are forced to increase the other source to ensure they don’t create a deficit and go into debt. The end product of this is higher college prices. 

Another big portion of college expenses come from faculty and staff. With the amount of student services and courses offered, colleges need a lot of people to fill these roles. The average student to staff ratio at colleges is 18:1. That is a lot of staff and paying those staff is very expensive. However, it’s not only the salaries of staff that are increasing. According to the seattle times, additional hiring benefits such as medical plans and retirement funds are raising costs as well. There are also other costs that colleges have to pay such as things like buildings, stadiums, and scholarships. However, none of these costs add up to more than the cost of paying staff. With the amount of staff being so high, colleges are faced with two options to compensate: either reduce the amount of staff or raise tuition prices. Most colleges choose the price increase route and it is reflected in the students debt. 

Although reduced funding and staff certainly play a big role, the demand for college is the main factor that causes prices to be so high. In 2000, there were 13.2 million college students. That is significantly lower than the 19.7 million college students in 2020. According to USA today, tuition for a public college was on average $12,310 in 2000. In 2018, that number was raised to $21,370. So why do prices increase as demand for college increases? The supply and demand curve shows why. The demand shift is illustrated with the second demand curve. If you look at the equilibrium price of the first curve (P1) and the equilibrium price of the second curve (P2). You will see that the price of the second curve, when demand was increased, is higher than the original curve. So, as demand for college increases as it did from 2000 to 2020, prices will also increase. 

The biggest causes of high expenses for colleges can be broken down to a reduction in state funding, a large amount of staff, and a higher demand for college. This is why college is so expensive. As more and more students go into debt, it is important for colleges to look at how they can reduce costs and in turn reduce the amount of debt students are forced to take on. Although colleges want to bring in as much money as possible, it will eventually get to the point where the majority of students just don’t see a college degree as worth the debt. Some possible solutions to lower student debt include getting more government assistance and possibly switching to more online classes. However, until something is done, students will be forced to take on a debt that they will be paying for a good amount of their lives if they want to go to college. 

Works Cited

Campus Explorer, www.campusexplorer.com/college-advice-tips/BFDD4D28/High-School-Junior-Timeline-and-Checklist/.

Friedman, Zack. “Student Loan Debt Statistics In 2020: A Record $1.6 Trillion.” Forbes, Forbes Magazine, 5 Feb. 2020, www.forbes.com/sites/zackfriedman/2020/02/03/student-loan-debt-statistics/#595360a281fe.

Hoffower, Hillary. “College Is More Expensive than It's Ever Been, and the 5 Reasons Why Suggest It's Only Going to Get Worse.” Business Insider, Business Insider, 26 June 2019, www.businessinsider.com/why-is-college-so-expensive-2018-4#:~:text=College is expensive for many,years ago, one expert said.

“How Much Does College Cost?” CollegeData, www.collegedata.com/en/pay-your-way/college-sticker-shock/how-much-does-college-cost/whats-the-price-tag-for-a-college-education/#:~:text=In 2019-2020, the average,out-of-state residents).

Long, Katherine. “How Staff Benefits and Student Services Drive up College Tuition.” The Seattle Times, The Seattle Times Company, 14 Feb. 2014, www.seattletimes.com/education-lab/how-staff-benefits-and-student-services-drive-up-college-tuition/.

Sauter, Michael B. “Here's the Average Cost of College Tuition Every Year since 1971.” USA Today, Gannett Satellite Information Network, 18 May 2019, www.usatoday.com/story/money/2019/05/18/cost-of-college-the-year-you-were-born/39479153/.

The Effects of an Economic Recession

 The Effects of an Economic Recession

Nick McFadden 


An economic recession can shake an economy and turn it upside down. An economy can be thriving and everything can be looking great until shortly after, a recession hits and the economy sinks. What is a recession? A recession is when the economy slows down for about 6 months. Usually we don’t know we are in a recession until it’s been going on for a while. In fact, we experienced an economic recession this year as COVID-19 hit. According to CNBC, The National Bureau of Economic Research declared in early June that there was officially a recession in the United States. Before the current recession, the most recent recession in the US was between the years 2007-2009. Causes of recessions can be inflation, major crises like a war, pandemic, or natural disaster, when interest rates get too high, or the prices of houses become more than their actual value. Every now and then, something tragic can happen to the economy like a recession and the effects can not be understated as individual people, families, and the state of the economy overall all experience the effects of a recession.  

Recessions affect individual people and families and can change someone’s life forever. According to BBVA, during a recession you could earn less money, you could be laid off as unemployment rates rise during recessions, and your debt might build up. Rare cases cause people to actually see benefits during a recession. This shows that everyone is affected differently. People who live paycheck to paycheck without money saved for a rainy day might find scary things happen to them during a recession. If someone in this situation earns less money from a recession, then they might not have enough money to pay for their essentials in life. They might struggle to pay for food and water. They also might struggle to pay their bills. This is problematic is this can lead to someone losing prized assets like a car or a home. Losing a home is life changing as you would need to find a new place to live. You might have to live in a different city then, and that might mean a family has to send their kids to a different school. This could result in kids getting a different education and leaving friends from their old school behind. As we can see, the effects of a recession can negatively change someone’s life as they know. However, some people might see the opposite result. According to Business Insider Jeff Bezos, founder of Amazon, saw his wealth raise by a staggering $48 million during the current recession from the COVID pandemic. One reason for Bezos seeing such large benefits has been because Amazon has seen a huge surge in their sales. People have been at home more during COVID so it makes sense that online orders are increasing while people are isolated in their homes. For many Americans the pandemic has had a negative financial impact, however for Bezos his wealth skyrocketed. This shows that individuals can see different effects from a recession. 

From a recession, individuals and families experience effects like I mentioned earlier. But those effects come from the economy as a whole being damaged. These big picture effects to the economy include high unemployment, a stock market crash, higher poverty rates, less opportunity, and investments could be gone well. Some of these macro numbers show the state of an economy and when these numbers are not where they should be during a recession that is a problem. The graph above from statista shows the unemployment rates going back the year 1950. We can see that in May of 2020 during the latest recession it was 13.3% which is an alarming rate. This was caused by the pandemic which sparked the economic recession. Another big picture effect during a recession is the stock market. We saw the stock market crash this year in 2020 and in 2008. Looking the graph to the left from Passive Income M.D., we see the stock market crash from 2008 and the effect that it had on the Dow Jones industries shares. According to Wealthsimple the DowJones average fell 777.68%. This affected the economy as a whole and the investors that had shares of stocks. Those investors likely lost a lot of money because their stocks were not worth nearly as much. Also, people who invested in a retirement savings account like a 401k can lose half of their money in their 401k during a recession. The economy as a whole can take a huge hit from a recession. 

An economic recession can happen when we least realize it, but as we know the effects can be devastating so we should always be prepared for when a recession is coming. With tragedy hitting in situations like these you can take steps to put yourself in the best spot possible like locking in a 401k so you don’t lose money you invested. But other things are out of your control like if your company is letting people go and you lose your job. When a tragedy like an economic recession happens you should be prepared for the worst but still hope for the best as often the economy is scarred and takes time to recover. 



Works Cited

Jackson, Nancy Mann. “Nancy Mann Jackson.” BBVA, 22 May 2020, www.bbvausa.com/moneyfit/savings-and-budgeting/what-is-a-recession-and-what-might-it-mean-for-me.html#:~:text=A recession is when the,income levels feel the impact.

Leonhardt, Megan. “The U.S. Is 'Officially' in a Recession-but Economists Say It's Far from a Typical Downturn.” CNBC, CNBC, 9 June 2020, www.cnbc.com/2020/06/09/us-officially-in-a-recession-but-its-different-than-2008.html.

Lusk, Veneta. “The Market Crash of 2008 Explained.” Wealthsimple, www.wealthsimple.com/en-us/learn/2008-market-crash#:~:text=The 2008 stock market crash took place on Sept.,of the bank bailout bill.

Woods, Hiatt. “How Billionaires Got $637 Billion Richer during the Coronavirus Pandemic.” Business Insider, Business Insider, 3 Aug. 2020, www.businessinsider.com/billionaires-net-worth-increases-coronavirus-pandemic-2020-7.

Www.facebook.com/passiveincomemd. “S&P Stock Market Crash 2008.” Passive Income M.D., 13 Mar. 2018, passiveincomemd.com/how-i-lost-over-100000-on-a-hot-stock-tip/sp-stock-market-crash-2008/.


Wednesday, October 21, 2020

The Turkey Industry May Be Stuffed This Thanksgiving

 The Turkey Industry May Be Stuffed This Thanksgiving

Written  by: Tyler Casper 

A stuffed turkey is a sight which is found across millions of households throughout America on Thanksgiving, although with the Coronavirus remaining a fear for many Americans, and a sharp decrease in the size of Thanksgiving parties likely as a result, some fear that the mouth-watering image of the turkey may be missing from many Thanksgiving dinners this year. However, despite the shrinkage of many family gatherings, experts and store owners alike believe it is more likely that turkey will remain a common sight across many dining rooms throughout the nation, and may even experience higher sales than usual. 

There are several factors which could indicate a rise in turkey sales this year.  First, the interest for cooking and baking has increased during the Pandemic, and as such, there could be an increase in demand for ingredients (like turkeys) as more people try to cook a traditional Thanksgiving meal themselves. This is especially important because the number of Thanksgiving celebrations is predicted to rise drastically as larger Thanksgiving celebrations with multiple families are replaced by a larger number of smaller celebrations with fewer families. For example, instead of having one large Thanksgiving celebration with three families and only one turkey at my grandparents’ house, there will likely be three Thanksgiving celebrations with three different turkeys.  This larger number of Thanksgiving dinners should result in a demand for more turkeys. In fact, according to economic journalist Megan Leonhardt of CNBC, some supermarkets are so confident that there will be an increase in turkey sales that they plan on slightly increasing the price for turkey as Thanksgiving approaches, which has resulted in an increase in the average price to $22.90. Increasing the price on turkey would be highly unusual, as the price is generally lowered before the holiday, to act as an enticement for the consumer to purchase other complementary goods, such as stuffing, cranberry sauce, and other common Thanksgiving foods. A willingness to increase the price of turkey illustrates the producers’ belief that turkey demand will increase among consumers, as an increase in price combined with a decrease in demand would result in an extreme drop in sales.

Still, while most experts and store owners are confident that turkeys will remain a constant in most thanksgiving meals, there are some indicators that the turkeys may not fly off the shelves. According to journalist Kim Severson of the New York Times, many families across the US have suffered severe decreases in income over the Pandemic, and many others face unemployment, and while producers believe the demand for turkey is largely inelastic, the large drop in income for many families may lead to a fall in sales in spite of the inelastic demand for turkey. However, most experts and store owners are confident that the drop in income will be offset by an increase in demand due to more thanksgiving parties and a larger interest in cooking in general.

Overall, although a fall in turkey sales may appear insignificant compared to the other damage the coronavirus has caused to the US economy, the turkey industry represents a significant portion of the agriculture industry. It is a clear example of an almost perfectly competitive industry; one with a large number of firms who have very little influence over the price of the goods they produce, as well as a lack of barrier walls on the industry as a whole, thus allowing firms to enter the turkey industry should they see the opportunity for economic profit. The turkey industry being almost perfectly competitive matters because it means that the farmers in the industry are at risk of being forced out of the industry if the experts are wrong and demand for turkey is lower than expected, as the price will fall and firms will gradually leave until the price rises back to equilibrium. In a world where many already face unemployment, adding thousands of farmers to the list of those without jobs would only exacerbate the problems caused by said employment and slow the US economic recovery from the Pandemic. 

While the stuffed turkey should remain the centerpiece of many Thanksgiving tables this year, a decrease in sales could lead to further unemployment across the nation and slow the economic recovery from the Coronavirus. What do you think will happen to the turkey industry this November? Will your family buy a turkey this year, or has the demand for turkey flown away from your family for this Thanksgiving? Finally, how do you think a decrease in Turkey sales would affect the US economy overall?


Works Cited

Leonhardt, Megan. “Here's How Much Thanksgiving Turkeys Cost At 14 Major Grocery 

Chains.” CNBC, CNBC, 20 Nov. 2019, www.cnbc.com/2019/11/20/how-much-thanksgiving-turkeys-cost-at-14-major-grocery-chains.html. 

Severson, Kim. “A Disrupted Thanksgiving Leaves the Turkey Business Guessing.” The 

New York Times, The New York Times, 8 Oct. 2020, www.nytimes.com/2020/10/08/dining/thanksgiving-turkey-coronavirus.html. 

“Turkey Profile.” Agricultural Marketing Resource Center, Iowa State University, 12 June 

2020, www.agmrc.org/commodities-products/livestock/poultry/turkey-profile. 


How Social Media Influences the Economy

 How Social Media Influences the Economy

Written by: Max Carney 


Social media hasn’t been around for that long, but has made a huge impact on our lives in recent years. Not just with connecting with others, but companies connecting with consumers. It’s now very common to see companies advertising through social media, but how does this influence the economy?

First companies use sponsorships. Through this, they pay someone (usually a celebrity or influencer) to talk about their product. They then hope that the cost of this will be outweighed by the profit they make from the consumers who saw the advertisement. Companies take this risk all the time. The products range from wireless earbuds, to mobile games. “Driving sales goes hand-in-hand with brand awareness, and many sponsorship opportunities allow you to introduce consumers to your product in a way that encourages them to make a purchase,” (https://www.thebalancesmb.com). The Balance makes a great point. One of the best ways for a company to get to a consumer is through someone they know (the influencer or celebrity). The more a consumer knows an influencer, the more likely they are to buy the product, the more the demand goes up for that product.

Second, one of the oldest forms of advertising, is ads. These are a much more direct form of getting the message to the consumer. A business pays an online platform (Facebook, Instigram, Twitter) to show ads directly to possible consumers. But this marketing strategy is still quite similar to sponsorships when broken down: A company pays another party (online platform or influencer) to promote their product. They still hope that the cost is outweighed by the profit. The only difference is how the product is promoted. An ad simply shows the product, while a sponsorship has the added benefit of someone a consumer might trust to promote the product. But there is still another benefit for ads: targeted advertising. Sponsorships might be hit or miss, while ads can be targeted, based on what a consumer has interacted with on a social media platform.


Last is the target audience. With a combination of targeted advertising, and paid influencers, companies can narrow down who they think will most likely buy their product. Doing this mitigates risk, mitigating risk insures that the company will most likely turn a profit, rather than a loss. Trying to advertise to someone who wouldn't be interested in the product wouldn’t make much sense, so narrowing it down can increase the chances of a profit.

Overall, social media has made a great impact on the way companies advertise their product to consumers. With new platforms, new ways to advertise have risen. This new way of getting the word out about a product or service will stay for a very long time, as long as social media companies are around, at least.


Work Cited


Friedman, Susan. “Learn About Sponsorship and How to Use It to Improve Marketing.” , 

www.thebalancesmb.com/sponsorship-a-key-to-powerful-marketing-2295276.


“Understanding People Is Our Business.” , 

www.visualdna.com/resources/#marketing_services.


The Economics of Sumo

 The Economics of Sumo

Written by: Michael Trotier


Economics can be observed everywhere. Even in the most obscure of things, such as sumo wrestling. 

Surprisingly, sumo is actually a very corrupt sport, with most matches being rigged. And it’s incredibly easy to do. All a wrestler must do to ensure that their next few matches (in a future tournament) are theirs is to, ironically, lose matches. 

So, why would a wrestler who could potentially win another match purposely let his opponent win? The answer to that is incentive. A sumo tournament works like this: each tournament there are 66 competitors, who are matched up with 15 other wrestlers each with a total of 15 matches in the tournament. In order to move up in the ranks, a wrestler must win at least 8 out of those 15 matches. However, the unlucky few who do not achieve lucky number 8 fall in the ranks. The reason why there is such an incentive to rise in the ranks is not only for the obvious reason of recognition, but also for perks of not having to do the chores of lower ranked wrestlers (getting up early, cleaning, etc.), and the main reason, salary, with a $3,000 increase per rank. Therefore, wrestlers will do anything to ensure that they get these 8 wins, which leads to rigging. The rigging of future matches is always set during the final matches of previous tournaments. Let’s say a wrestler who is up 8:6 is in his final match. According to Mark Duggan, professor of economics at Stanford, statistically, 75% of the time in these cases of 8:6 scores, the wrestler’s opponent wins, setting the final score at 8:7. One might argue that “the opponent had more determination than the wrestler who was already in the clear,” however, this is not the case. What happens is that the wrestler, who has already reached 8 wins, realizes that they have nothing to lose, and then makes a deal with their opponent. They propose that they can help their opponent minimize their loss in the ranks by maximizing their opponent’s wins, without letting them reach 8 wins. In return however, the wrestler who was just given the win must promise to let that wrestler beat them in future matchups of future tournaments. They then use these guaranteed “wins” for future tournaments so that they can again reach 8 wins, and then use the rest of their matches as IOU’s.

 

http://pubs.aeaweb.org/action/showImage?doi=10.1257/000282802762024665&iName=master.img-000.png&w=191&h=132 From Mark Duggan and Steven D. Levitt’s: Winning Isn’t Everything

This graph, taken from Stephen D. Levitt, author of Freakonomics, and Mark Duggan’s study, shows just how important the eighth win is. With a negative change in rank for every tournament win until it drastically increases once it reaches 8.

Each time a wrestler proposes this deal, they are making an opportunity cost by choosing not to win more than 8 matches, as a wrestler can maximize their “profit” by winning additional matches, therefore rising even higher in rankings. However, by choosing to invest in future wins, wrestlers are able to play conservatively. It’s a vicious cycle where wrestlers race to 8, in order to make room for deals for the next tournament.

Wrestlers who don’t support the rigging also can’t do much to stop it. Firstly, a wrestler must either get lucky in their first tournament or have the talent to win the 8 matches, and then spend their rest on rigging. If a wrestler doesn’t achieve this, their career is essentially over. These unlucky wrestlers are then forced to take the deals so that they don’t fall completely out of the ranks. From this, the good wrestlers and the alright wrestlers are determined early on, and it’s very difficult to change that. It’s similar to seeding in sports.

So why do officials allow this? Money. The officials don’t get a cut of the money or anything like that, but they are able to make more money from spectators than they used to in the final matches. Before, spectators would not show up as much to the final matches, as the winners are pretty much already determined. However, after seeing many of the underdog, not-so-good wrestlers beat the high ranking wrestlers in the final matches, it attracted attention. Now the audience is more interested in the outcome of the final matches as they know there will always be an upset.

But what can be done to stop this? There isn’t much but there are some solutions. As mentioned, the officials won’t do anything to stop the corruption, and even the wrestlers who fight against it can’t do anything. My solution would be to remove the incentive by changing the point system of the tournaments and instead following a tournament bracket. This way, wrestlers don’t have the “8 wins” to focus on and instead would have to focus on winning to advance. Another approach would be to increase the media scrutiny on the issue. When people or groups are corrupt, their main goal is to be able to continue their corruption without being caught. Most people know of the rigging in sumo matches, however, the amount of rigging doesn’t go down until the media actually reports on it, with the officials minimizing the rigging in order to hide it.

In conclusion, do you agree? Disagree? What other solutions do you have?


Works Cited

Duggan, Mark, and Steven D. Levitt. "Winning Isn't Everything: Corruption in Sumo Wrestling." University of Pennsylvania ScholarlyCommons, University of Pennsylvania, Dec. 2002, repository.upenn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1069&context=hcmg_papers. Accessed 19 Oct. 2020.

"The Numbers in Sumo Cheating: Freakonomics Movie." YouTube, 29 Aug. 2011, www.youtube.com/watch?v=NKZzGiS5hv0. Accessed 19 Oct. 2020.

Steelman, Aaron. "The Economics of...Sumo Wrestling." Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, www.richmondfed.org/publications/research/econ_focus/2003/summer/~/media/AC03C0CCD75846D1A53B9B208951D397.ashx. Accessed 19 Oct. 2020.


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