Written by Nolan Dang
It’s
been on the news for a while, that the United States Government is going to
shut down because it reached the government reached its debt limit. It’s not as
bad as it sounds, the government isn’t disappearing forever but there are
severe economic repercussions.
So
to begin with, what is a debt ceiling? The debt limit is the monetary limit,
that the US government is allow to spend before it has to default on its legal
obligation, the current amount that the US congress allowed the US to borrow
was 16.39 trillion dollars and the US is already reaching that amount.
But
what happened when the Government reaches its debt limit? Once this debt limit
is reach by the government, the US government has either a choice to raise the
debt limit which allows the us to spend as much as it want, until it reaches
the new debt limit, where the US congress can simply raise it again. Or they
can choose not to raise the debt limit and default on its legal obligation,
such as social security, Medicare benefit, and military salaries. This provides
an incentive for government to provide a solution or else the US population who
depend on these services would be in dire need of help, because the government
wouldn’t be able to provide the services that they depended on.
But
even delaying the decision of what to do with the debt limit can still cause
backlashes major backlashes to the economy. Arguing over the decision of
raising the debt limit or keeping at the current amount, would create uncertainly
on the bond market causing upward pressure on interest rates. These rate
increases cause by this would also put pressure on US businesses and divert
tax-payer money away from certain federal areas such as infrastructure,
education, and healthcare. And downgrade
the US credit rating, and can throw the stock market into a panic, like in 2011
when the debt limit was raised, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged
roughly 2000 points.
Not
only would the US would feel these economic backlashes but foreign investors
and the dollar value would also face dire consequences. Foreign investors
invest their money into the US because it was deemed as the safest place to
store and invest with their savings. But with the news of the debt limit being
reached and the predicted consequences, makes foreign investors, lose confidence
within the US, which then influences them to withdraw and remove their investments
out of the US, causing the US dollar to be worth less, causing the dollar to
not be remembered as the world’s reserve currency. But even though the dollar
would be worth less, there would be slight benefit for US business that rely on
private good exports to make an income. The depreciation of the dollar would
increase foreign demand for the goods provided, because they would be cheaper.
So
what happens now? Most likely the government would choose to raise the debt
ceiling again like before, because the benefit of more government spending and
government services, outweighs the cost of mounting debt. It may be the easiest
choice, to help relief the rushing issue of government services, but it only
prolongs the looming problems of our unending government debt.
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Limit." Treasury.org. N.p., n.d. Web. 1 Oct. 2013.
<www.treasury.gov/initiatives/pages/debtlimit.aspx>.
"Government
shutdown versus the debt ceiling: Why hitting the debt limit is scarier than
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<http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2013/09/government_shutdown_versus_the_debt_ceiling_why_hitting_the_debt_limit_is.html>.
"The
Debt Limit Explained - YouTube." YouTube. N.p., n.d. Web. 1 Oct.
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